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Department of Geography and Meteorology, Valparaiso University
Geography of Cyberspace
GEO/COM 280X

Discussion Guide: Scenarios for the Future

A common exercise in the study of communication and technology is the creation of scenarios for the future.  Much like the science fiction novel you read, these scenarios extrapolate from the past and present to think about how things will evolve in the future.  Such scenarios serve as more than predictions.  They often influence thinking about new technologies and become self fulfilling.  As Dodge and Kitchen note, the work of William Gibson and Neal Stephenson has inspired some of the very innovations in cyberspace that we have discussed in this class.

Today you will work with a group and apply what you have learned in this class to create a scenario about geography, technology, and telecommunication in the year 2056. Your scenario should be in the form of a “day in the life” of an average person.  It should not be overly utopian or dystopian.  Consider the most likely outcomes of present day trends that you have learned about in this class.  Things to think about include:

  • Where will an average person in the future live?  What will the structure of their family be like?
  • How will people use communication technology in their homes?  What will it look like? How will it connect them with people in the neighborhood, in the city, in their region, and across the world? 
  • What new entertainment technologies will emerge and how will they change the nature of entertainment? Will technology become more interactive like “ractives”?  What kinds of media will teenagers produce on their home technological devices?  (And what will be the nature of these devices?)
  • How will the nature of work change as computing technology gets more powerful and more sophisticated?  What kinds of jobs will people have in the future that they did not have today?  Where will jobs be located?  Where will the people doing their jobs be located?
  • How will telecommunications technologies change the architecture of buildings?
  • How will cities change in the future?  Will they be more compact?  Will they be more spread out? What new forms of settlement might emerge in response to changing technologies and communications technologies?  What will be the role of surveillance in the city?
  • Will digital divides still be with us in 50 years?  If so, what will the nature of such divides be? 
  • What will the state of the environment be in 50 years?  How will technology mediate our experience of the environment?  How will it help us manage the natural environment? 
  • What will the geopolitical situation be like in 50 years?  Will technological exchange among countries (if there are indeed countries) be mediated by “feed” or “seed” technologies?  Will there still be a global “war on terror”?  If so what role will technology play in this “war.”  If not, what role did technology play in resolving it?


Copyright 2006 Michael W. Longan